This issue gives views on interest rates, select properties for the month
in Pune, and other interesting articles. Hope you enjoy reading them.
INFORMATION ON HOME LOANS & REAL ESTATE MARKET
Have Home Loan Rates bottomed out?
Fixed Vs floating
Real estate dreams have a strong foundation?
Select Properties for the Month
Four steps towards a hassle - free and a happy home loan relationship

 


Have Home Loan Rates bottomed out?

  Any surprise is unlikely in the short term

  RENU S KARNAD


The current interest rate conundrum is vexing: the ample liquidity in the system suggests a soft or stable interest rate outlook while the sharp rise in inflation could be interpreted as the bottoming out of the interest rate cycle or a signal of an imminent hardening of rates.

While the authorities have indicated their preference for a soft and flexible interest rate environment, there is a growing consensus that barring some structural re-adjustments, the rapid downward trend of interest rates appears to be coming to a halt. The concept of floating rate home loans in India is still relatively new. The trend of a continued soft interest rate regime has resulted in over 90% of incremental housing loans being linked to floating rates.

What is of greater concern is not the direction of interest rate movements, but the need to clear the misconception amongst several customers opting for floating rates that interest rates will continue to fall.

It is very important for a customer to completely understand the concept of a floating rate loan. Housing loans are typically long-term — 10 to 15 years — and over this period cyclical movements in interest rates are inevitable. It may be prudent to lock-in to a fixed rate loan when rates are low. If rates move down, the customer may lose out, but if interest rates rise, at least the risks are capped.

As regards the interest rate outlook, in the short-term, there is unlikely to be any surprise element in interest rate movements, either upwards or downwards. Over a longer-term perspective of 8-9 months, given the global recovery outlook, interest rates may inch upwards.

While the lower interest rate regime has contributed to increased affordability, one hopes that the market will be mature to handle any upward movement in interest rates without a sharp rise in delinquencies. Ultimately, the moral responsibility of sounding a cautionary note to customers of the risks involved with floating rate loans must lie in the hands of the lender.

The author is Executive Director, HDFC

April, 2004

 


Fixed Vs floating

There is one vexing question that all home loan seekers have to address: whether to go in for a floating-rate scheme or take shelter in a fixed-rate scheme. Given the volatile nature of the home loan market, which is linked to various macro economic developments, most find the floating-rate strategy the better option. In fact, almost 90 per cent of the existing housing loans in India are said to be disbursed under floating-rate schemes. Not surprising, considering the current soft interest rate regime. However, the path is strewn with thorns. Any upward movement in interest rates will see an increase in your EMI (equated monthly installment) or your loan tenure, meaning the number of EMIs that one has to pay. Does that mean that fixed-rate schemes are the better option? While it spares you the headache of tracking changes in interest rates or worrying about your EMIs as the rates are fixed for the loan tenure, any further lowering of interest rates could make you regret the decision to go for the fixed-rate option.

So how do you find peace of mind? The question depends on a variety of factors, say experts. First and foremost, the prevailing interest rate regime. You also need to check out the different rates offered for different tenures, and the costs of switching the loans later. The difference between fixed and floating rates also comes into the picture. For a better understanding let's look at what floating- and fixed-rate schemes actually mean.

Floating-rate loans

A floating rate or variable rate is one where the rate charged by the housing finance company on your loan is liable to change as and when the broad interest rates in the economy change. The interest rate charged on housing loans tends to vary with a benchmark, which is generally the prime lending rate (PLR). The change in interest rate is reflected either in the form of a change in the EMI on the housing loan or a change in the tenure of the loan. When the interest rate falls, the EMI is also likely to fall or the tenure may be reduced. If the PLR moves up, the interest rate on your loan would move up, raising your EMI.

The catch lies in interest rate movements. You are exposed to interest rate risk in the case of a floating-rate loan scheme. If the interest rates move upwards, you could be faced with a large, unplanned increase in outgoings in the form of soaring EMIs. According to loan experts, a floating-rate scheme is best suited in a falling-rate scenario. But it becomes costly as and when the rates move up. Most banks offer floating-rate loans at an interest rate that is slightly lower than that of fixed-rate loans.

Keeping in mind the fact that loans are reviewed on a three-month or six-month basis, a change in the floating rate on a loan would depend on the level at which the customer had applied for the loan. The loan could be below the PLR, above it or at par. If a loan is sanctioned at, say, 3 per cent below PLR, and the present PLR is around 10.5 per cent, the borrower would pay 7.5 per cent interest. If PLR becomes 10 per cent, the rate would be 7 per cent. But on the other hand, if the PLR rises to 11 per cent, the borrower would have to pay 8 per cent.

Fixed-rate loans

The good thing about a fixed-rate scheme is that the interest rate charged by a housing finance company remains fixed throughout the term of the loan. Which means that the consumer is immune to fluctuations in interest rates. The risk of rising interest rates is borne by the financing company in this case - a rise in interest rates will not affect your cash flows. It also offers the advantage of knowing your liability per month (EMI) in advance, which remains fixed throughout the term of the loan, enabling better financial planning. On the flip side, you do not benefit from a fall in interest rates. So, even if you earn less on your bank deposits in case rates fall, you will be forced to pay a higher interest rate on your loan. It is advisable to go in for a fixed-rate scheme if one feels that the rate of interest in the market has touched rock-bottom and hence they may have nowhere to go but up.

What do you do?

The answer is not that simple. The decision to choose your loan depends on a lot of factors. Your age, for instance. If you are a young loan seeker, it makes sense to go for a floating-rate scheme, assuming that your earning potential and the time available make it easy for you to pay off your long-term loan. While a floating-rate scheme could help you save when interest rates move downwards, you can also cushion the impact of rising interest rates because of the options available to prepay through refinancing or switching your loans. However, for older people it makes more sense to take advantage of the current low rates, which lessen their monthly EMIs.

You need to have a better understanding of the interest-rate scenario and the frequency of changes made by your loan institution in terms of rates. You also need to take into account the different rates offered for different tenures and the cost of switching loans. There are some thumb rules even for a baffling market like housing loans, say experts. Keep in mind the fact that fixed rates are better suited for long-term loans with an average life of 10-20 years while floating rates can be considered for short-term borrowing. It also depends on your risk appetite. If you are one of those who like to take risks, then go for a floating-rate scheme with the hope that interest rates stay low for many more years. But if the thought of higher interest rates gives you palpitations and stress, it is better to opt for a fixed-rate scheme. But above all before you sign the loan agreement with any housing finance company, make sure to go through the fine print carefully. For therein lies the real tale.

Publication: Business Standard

Date: December 22, 2003

 


Real estate dreams have a strong foundation?

Arundhati Bakshi-Dighe

Thirty four-year-old real estate broker Ram Prasad Padhi does not believe in the booming stock markets, “Just a piece of paper,” he says dismissing share certificates. He likes investments that “one can see”.

He likes real estate. He likes it not because he made a 20 per cent profit in just over a year from a Borivili project, but because, though he paid money in installments to buy, when he sold, he got a lump sum return.

Padhi looks at real estate as an investment opportunity, while for most people, it is a one time transaction - when they buy their homes. Real estate is a great investment option for, not only does it have the potential to make a profit over time, but while the investment matures, it gives inflation-linked returns, in the form of rent. Like all other investment options, real estate can be a great way to grow your money if you know how. Here are four things to build into your investment decision.

Do you have the risk-appetite to invest in property? Property investing is not for everybody. It demands a high entry price, suffers from lack of liquidity and an uncertain gestation period. The minimum investment, even for a small commercial property in an upcoming area, is likely to be a few lakhs. This investment is also illiquid, you can sell a few units of a mutual fund investment without disturbing the entire amount if you need some funds, but it is impossible to sell, say a room, out of a property bought. How long the investment will take to mature, too, is uncertain. You could strike a gold mine, like people who bought into the Delhi suburbs in the early 1990s did, or you could buy during a boom and lose money. More important than all these, is the risk of being sold a dud. Property titles in India are usually not clear and people have been sold houses that did not belong to the seller. To take such a big-ticket risk is not feasible for the average person. “The entry cost, the levels of liquidity desired by the investor, the gestation period in mind, the cost incurred for monitoring the deal and for legal advice are all very important factors in a property deal,” advises Anuj Puri, Managing Director, Chesterton Meghraj Property Consultants.

Choose your location “The concrete and the cement that go into building a house are all visible investments that I make” says real estate advocate Ram Prasad Padhi If you do have the risk-appetite for property, then the most important thing to consider is the location of the investment. First, choose the city since real estate returns show significant variations between markets. Says

B Srinivas, National Manager (Financial Services Group), Cushman and Wakefield: “Real estate investment in the mature markets like Mumbai and Delhi would have yielded a stable 9 per cent to 11 per cent gross over the past 3 years, while emerging markets like Bangalore and Hyderabad have given between 12 and 16 per cent”.

Next choose between residential and commercial property. “Capital appreciation on residential property can be as high as 10 per cent per year compared to five per cent in commercial property,” says Puri. Then choose the area. Find out how the area has developed in the past few years. Also try and find out what the area will look like in future. For example, property rates along the Metro Rail in Delhi and those near the fly-overs in Mumbai may appreciate faster than other areas. Or property rates along the Golden Quadrilateral may rise faster than along other new highways. Now, choose a developer since areas which have good developers working on projects are always attractive.

Advice from Niranjan Hiranandani, Managing Director of the Rs 200 crore Hiranandani Constructions Group. You cannot buy a property one day and then sell it off the very next day. It is always advisable to keep enough money in the bank which can be used for immediate and urgent needs. Property investment should be done by persons who have deeper pockets and longer-term view of their investments. From a long-term financial-returns perspective, it is advisable to invest in higher-grade commercial properties. However, for small-sized investments (upto Rs 5 crore), it may be better to analyse prime residential developments. Calculate the yieldYou need to find out if the money you invest in property is better off in an alternate investment. For this you calculate the yield, that is nothing but the rent the property will get, divided by the market value of the property. Suppose a Rs 30 lakh property is giving a rent of Rs 12,000 a month or Rs 1.44 lakh per year. You are getting a yield of 4.8 per cent (Rs 1.44 lakh/Rs 30 lakh). However, RBI bonds give tax-free returns of 6.5 per cent. So you may be better off in risk-free RBI bonds purely in terms of annual return, if you do not take into account the future potential of the property to gain in value.

Do the due diligence For such a large ticket investment, you need a big-bang due diligence. Plenty can go wrong in a property deal and there are enough stories of people being sold houses that were sold simultaneously to ten other buyers. The antiquated legal system, of course, is of no help to sort out these problems. Examine the profile of the real estate developer and his experience in the local property market. Check the ownership of the property. “Check that the property is not involved in some public interest litigation or any environment related litigations,” advises Puri.

Remember that property has the potential to give great returns, but it has a high-risk tag attached to it too. But for land-lubbers like Padhi, property is the way to great returns. “'Land is always scarce, land is diminishing, but demand is growing,” says Padhi, as he picks up the latest issue of a property paper trying to decide his next buy.

Publication: Economic Times

Date: December 21, 2003

 

 


Four steps towards a hassle - free and a happy home loan
relationship

Home loan companies are not paragons of virtue. Nor are they symbols of perfection. Errors do happen and more often they are of the kind that affect you adversely. BRIS* presents here four steps towards protecting yourself from these errors.


The ground rule is straight and simple. As a smart home loan borrower, you should ensure your home loan account is hassle-free. That means free from errors of all sorts.
How do you do that? No need to fret and fume. Here are four simple steps that can take you to a state of home loan nirvana vis-a-vis your home loan company. Here we go.

Step one : Keep track of your home loan account on a regular basis
This is the first step towards ensuring transparency in your home loan account. How do you go about that? Simple. Even before borrowing your home loan, make enquiries with vour home loan lender whether he can provide you with a home loan account statement at regular intervals. Yes, it is very important to obtain-a home loan statement every month. Or, at least once a quarter.
Many home loan lenders these days provide you with amortisation charts containing the exact break-up of your repayments, between principal and interest, every month across the entire tenure of your home loan. A few others provide you with regular home loan account statement on demand. Some others let you access your home loan accounts through the Intemet.
It is very important to verify whether your home loan account statement completely tallies with your amortisation schedule. Therefore, it is in your interest to collect actual statements of your home loan accounts every three months for the purpose of cross-reference.
Collect your statements even if you have to cough up some nominal charges for the same. This is the first step.
How does this help you? Only by obtaining a regular home loan account statement that you will know your regular monthly payments are properly reconciled with your home loan account. You shall discover only here how much you are charged for that late payment or for that bounced cheque, et al.
Only in this statement that you will discover any new additional charges and service charges levied by your home loan banker.
You may even be surprised to know that such charges did exist in the fine print, which you never got to read in the first place. Fair enough, you now know how transparent your account really is !. Move over to the next step.


Step two : Know about the current, relevant and valid interest on your home loan

Rest assured, ,there are plenty of home loan borrowers who shy away from calling their home loan bankers to know their current interest rates. It is literally a far cry for a home loan borrower to visit his home loan bank. Post disbursal, very few home loan borrowers keep in touch with their lenders.
But, it is in your interest that you should be vigilant and routinely interact with your home loan banker on such matters as current interest rates applied to your loan account. This is very crucial and imperative in these days. In the present scenario, most home loan borrowers are still floating with floating interest loans.
You must know that bankers review their interest rates on floating home
loans at regular intervals. They revise their interest rates based on their market perception.
Just because you did not take the call at the right time, you may lose the opportunity of lower rates and may end up paying higher rates.
That is why, if you are an alert home loan borrower, you must know these interest rate changes, as and when they occur. More so, when many home loan bankers today are seriously contemplating about a northward course for home loan rates. Accordingly, you must obtain the applicable new amortization schedules to understand the change in your repayment.

You must consult your home loan officer and find out exactly how the changed rate affects your home loan repayment. And carry out your due diligence, with your own expert in tow, to ensure your home loan safety.

Step three: Visit your home finance company at least once a month
Many home loan banks announce major policy changes in their home loan portfolios by simply displaying them on their notice boards in their bank premises in the form of circulars. Their justification: they may not be able to communicate such changes to large numbers of home loan borrowers.
Whatever is their argument, it is important for home loan borrowers to visit their home loan bank once a month to read and to be aware of the latest circulars. The information you get could be very important.
For, it may include important notifications regarding changes in interest rates, inclusion of additional charges, revision of charges and major changes in policy that can affect your home loan account. This is an important step that can shield you against home loan thunderbolts.

Step four: Seek a personal audience with your home loan officer
Now this is important. You must get to now your home loan officer personally well. This is possible if you visit your home loan bank more often. It makes eminent sense to meet him or her and discuss all the details of your home loan account at least once every six months.
First, this will ensure transparency of your home loan account. And second, you will be able to understand any changes in the home loan account subsequent to changes such as revised interest rates. Also you can discuss issues related to late payments or bounced cheques, extra charges levied and irregularities.
This is the time to ensure that errors that have inadvertently crept into your home loan account are removed and your account stands regularised. You must know that regularisation of your home loan account must be done before the end of the financial year. That is the reason you must meet your home loan officer at least twice a year to regularise your home loan account.
it is important to seek a prior appointment with your home loan officer so that you are sure of getting adequate attention and time on your specific home loan account. You must satisfy yourself completely on all fronts. You should also not hesitate to meet the branch manager to seek any further clarification, if need be.


* Brehad Research and Information Services Pvt Ltd

Source: The Express Estates, February 15, 2004


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